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2024-12-14 03:08:48

Morgan Asset Management: In 2025, there are sufficient reasons to continue to over-allocate US stocks. Sylvia Sheng, global multi-asset strategist of Morgan Asset Management, said that there are sufficient reasons to continue to over-allocate US stocks and increase exposure to small and medium-sized stocks. She pointed out that although the valuation may look high, it is expected that the profit growth of S&P 500 companies will continue. Sheng wrote that it is estimated that in 2025, the contribution of the six giants in the S&P 500 index to the profit growth of the other 494 stocks will be the same, and the profit growth of these six giants is expected to slow down from 40% in 2024 to 22%. In the international market, Morgan Asset Management continues to over-allocate Japanese stocks, and its quantitative model shows that the yield of Japanese stocks is attractive and the bottom-up profitability is strong.SpaceX is valued at about $350 billion due to internal stock sales. According to an email sent to employees seen by the media, SpaceX and its investors have agreed to acquire the company's common stock of up to $1.25 billion at a price of $185 per share. This transaction values the rocket and satellite manufacturer owned by elon musk at about $350 billion.Analyst: There may be a RRR cut of 50 basis points to 100 basis points next year. Tan Yiming, chief fixed income analyst of Minsheng Securities, said that there may be a RRR cut of 50 basis points to 100 basis points next year, considering the supply pressure of government bonds, the restoration of credit supply and the provision of long-term stable low-cost funds for financial institutions.


Jin Guanping, Economic Daily: Implement more active and promising macro policies. The article points out that the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held a meeting on December 9 to analyze and study the economic work in 2025, and put forward "implement more active and promising macro policies" and "strengthen unconventional countercyclical adjustment" in view of the macro policy orientation next year, and clearly implement more active fiscal policies and moderately loose monetary policies. This important deployment has released a clear signal of strengthening macro-control and strong and steady growth. Implementing a "more active" fiscal policy means increasing fiscal countercyclical adjustment and improving the effectiveness of fiscal policy while maintaining policy stability and continuity. "Moderately loose" means that monetary policy will better reflect the supportive stance and orientation, maintain a reasonable and sufficient liquidity, and further reduce the comprehensive financing costs of enterprises and residents.Syrian opposition forces claimed to have taken control of the eastern Syrian city of Deir ez-Zor. According to Al Jazeera and Arabiya TV, on the 10th local time, Hassan Abdel Ghani, commander of Syrian opposition forces, said that "the eastern Syrian city of Deir ez-Zor has been completely controlled".The daily limit of the construction industry today is that CICC Fortune Beijing Jianguomenwai Street sold 455 million yuan, and the daily limit of the construction industry today was 2.004 billion yuan, with a turnover rate of 22.05%. After-hours data show that the special seats of Shenzhen Stock Connect bought 40.1869 million yuan and sold 19.4816 million yuan, CICC Fortune Beijing Jianguomenwai Street sold 455 million yuan and the special seats of one institution sold 26.1536 million yuan.


CF40 Research: Three Channels to Expand Domestic Demand. An article published by Guan Wei of China Financial Forty Forum (CF40) pointed out that the expansion of total demand, whether it is to expand consumption or investment demand, should be implemented on credit growth. When credit goes up, residents, enterprises and governments have more money in their pockets, so do expenditures and incomes, as well as profits and investments. At present, there are three main ways to expand credit: first, fiscal policy is exerted and the government borrows money; Second, the monetary policy will exert its strength and reduce the policy interest rate; The third is to stabilize the real estate market, and there can be no further sharp decline. In terms of finance, maintain the intensity of fiscal expenditure in a broad sense, and moderately increase the fiscal deficit to 4% in 2025. In terms of monetary policy, we should take reducing the real interest rate as an important goal, continue to implement "strong interest rate reduction", and timely reduce the interest rate of structural monetary policy tools below the policy interest rate level. In terms of the property market, it will ease the current cash flow pressure faced by real estate enterprises and promote the real estate to stop falling and stabilize from both ends of supply and demand.Senior US official: Russia has provided important assistance to Iran in fighter planes, missile defense and space technology.The daily limit of the construction industry today is that CICC Fortune Beijing Jianguomenwai Street sold 455 million yuan, and the daily limit of the construction industry today was 2.004 billion yuan, with a turnover rate of 22.05%. After-hours data show that the special seats of Shenzhen Stock Connect bought 40.1869 million yuan and sold 19.4816 million yuan, CICC Fortune Beijing Jianguomenwai Street sold 455 million yuan and the special seats of one institution sold 26.1536 million yuan.

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